Dsmenu trade pokemon1/4/2024 ![]() Plotting the aforementioned graph results in the following. In this case, each Lucky Trade moves the plot one point up the Y-axis. The hypothesis was that if a Pokémon’s age influences the chance of a Lucky Trade, then the slope should become steeper as the age of the traded Pokémon increased.Ī cumulative frequency graph positions all data points evenly along the X-axis and moves up the Y-axis each time a data point meets a set criterion. Once sufficient data was gathered, it was determined that one of the simplest ways to explore the influence of a Pokémon’s age was to sort all of the Research Group’s reported trades by the age of the oldest Pokémon and then plot a cumulative frequency graph. The Silph Research Group proposes the following as the current base probabilities of receiving a Lucky Pokémon in a trade outside of special events: Age of Oldestīecause Niantic hinted that a Pokémon’s age would impact its likelihood of becoming Lucky when traded, this was the Silph Research Group’s primary research focus.įor every trade that researchers participated in, they recorded a variety of relevant pieces of information including the date both Pokémon were originally obtained, as well as the date of the trade itself. We can now confidently reveal that each year a Pokémon ages, it increases its chances of becoming Lucky! Findings This has heightened interest in Lucky rates in general, but the question remains – what are the regular, unboosted rates in the first place?įortunately, the Silph Research Group has completed over 9,000 trades since changes to the Lucky Trade system were announced. In a Pokémon GO first, this event boosted the rate at which Lucky Pokémon could be received. ![]() On the 4th of February, Niantic announced the Lunar New Year event. Due to a new understanding of guaranteed trades, the rates for July-August 2016 Pokémon as presented in this article are likely incorrect, details can be found in our more current publication, here. ![]() The Silph Research Group has conducted more research into these Lucky rates and guaranteed trades involving July-August Pokémon. : Since this study was published, the 75% Lucky rate for July-August 2016 Pokémon it references was called into question multiple times.
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